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We map the transmission from Treasury term premia and refinancing walls to collateral calls and crowded unwinds
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NVIDIA sits at the center of a multi-year compute buildout constrained by physics, policy, and geopolitics
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Free
How yields, inflation, and global liquidity condition the durability of AI-driven capex.
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How higher discount rates, financing costs, and fiscal supply pressures could slow AI capex and compress valuations.
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Examining how slowing growth, sticky inflation, and fiscal strain could transmit through hyperscaler capex and enterprise demand.
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Free
Persistent price pressures could force renewed tightening, turning a supportive macro narrative into a headwind for tech stocks.
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Free
Core PCE at 3.3% and yields near 19-year highs cool the case for rich AI multiples despite robust capex.
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Policy divergence across major economies creates a new regime for long-duration growth equities
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How the July payroll shock, falling hike odds, and lower discount rates could support Nvidia's valuation and AI capex.
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Persistent CPI, dissenting Fed voters, and higher-for-longer rates create a two-sided risk for AI equities.
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A Fed-driven transmission chain links discount rates, data-center financing, and hyperscaler capex to the AI-chip complex.
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Infrastructure buildout stands at the intersection of credit markets, power constraints, and earnings quality, amplifying systemic risk.