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Oil above $105 a barrel and four Asian nations face industrial collapse if the Hormuz closure persists past June.
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A bombing campaign that killed Ayatollah Khamenei has paused — but diplomatic talks have stalled and underlying grievances remain.
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Abu Dhabi's production surge threatens a price war with Saudi Arabia and undermines the producer solidarity that has governed energy for six decades.
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Three aircraft carriers and 38 diverted ships later, Tehran has not capitulated as the crisis enters a grinding stalemate.
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With export capacity maxed and China trade plunging 80%, Tehran may be forced to curtail production within weeks.
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What began as a limited strike has drawn nuclear powers into combat, threatening to reshape the global security order.
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Military confrontation in Yemen and the UAE's OPEC exit mark the end of a half-century partnership
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With 1.6 million barrels per day of spare capacity set free, the cartel's grip on supply is fundamentally weakened.
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The surprise departure removes 3.5 million barrels per day from the cartel's quota framework, effective May 1.
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Houthi strikes on Red Sea shipping have triggered rerouting, spiking insurance costs, and commodity shortages worldwide.
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The Strait of Hormuz disruption threatens global supply chains, fertilizer markets, and food security.
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One-fifth of the world's seaborne oil passes through waters now requiring six months to clear