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Brent crude drops 3-4% on MoU rumors, yet physical conflict threat still at 'Extreme' 93/100.
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Gasoline up 40%, shipping costs doubled, and strategic reserves draining fast—the Strait's shutdown cascades through global supply chains.
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Daily transits through the world's most vital energy chokepoint plummet from 100 to nearly zero in 88 days.
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With Brent crude surging 60% and diesel margins at a record $80, consumers face $6 gasoline and winter heating crises.
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Defense stocks hit record highs, sanctions target crypto, and central banks pivot as geopolitical risk dominates.
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U.S.-Iran kinetic exchanges and defense mobilization signal a structural shift toward sustained great-power competition.
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U.S. gasoline has surged 44% since conflict began, and analysts warn of $6.35 per gallon if supply worsens.
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With strategic reserves nearly exhausted and refining capacity offline, consumers face soaring prices and economic pain.
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First lethal strike since April ceasefire kills one and wounds 63, shattering fragile calm and risking wider war.
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From LNG force majeure to stranded vessels, the disruption could slash GDP growth and reshape the world economy.
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Destruction of 80 energy facilities turns a security crisis into a structural supply shock.
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With energy rationing looming and supply chains disrupted, growth may fall below 2% and trigger stagflation in emerging markets.
